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Zacatecas Mineros vs Piratas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Soto O.
23' Event
Garcia U.
Own Goal
28' Event
Sandoval L.
Assist: Carballo E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX game between Zacatecas Mineros and Piratas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zacatecas Mineros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zacatecas Mineros
15%
Draws
46%
Piratas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piratas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Zacatecas Mineros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 68%
Piratas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Piratas
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Piratas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Piratas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 41 / 100
Piratas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Piratas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacatecas Mineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zacatecas Mineros scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Piratas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Zacatecas Mineros went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Piratas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatecas Mineros

(Home)
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 7

Piratas

(Away)
10 Oct
Tlaxcala
4 : 2
Piratas
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1
Venados FC
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Piratas
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 7 3 2 28:17 24
2 Atletico La Paz 12 7 2 3 28:15 23
3 Club Atletico Morelia 12 7 2 3 22:13 23
4 Venados FC 12 6 2 4 27:22 20
5 Piratas 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tlaxcala 12 4 3 5 23:25 15
11 Tapatio 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
12 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)