Sport Picks
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mazatan O.
6'
6'
Dominguez A.
Assist: Torres E.
16'
16'
Magana K.
Assist: Avila J.
AI Match Summary
Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zacatecas Mineros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venados FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Venados FC average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Zacatecas Mineros's 1.69.
- Model gives Venados FC a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zacatecas Mineros | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC
5:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:3
Apr 28, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Venados FC
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Magana K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Machado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Venados FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Dominguez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zacatecas Mineros 26 / 100
Venados FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zacatecas Mineros Venados FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venados FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Venados FC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Zacatecas Mineros scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Zacatecas Mineros remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zacatecas Mineros VS Venados FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Zacatecas Mineros
(Home) 11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Venados FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
