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Zacatepec vs Chilpancingo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
90' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Zacatepec and Chilpancingo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Zacatepec
35%
Draws
41%
Chilpancingo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zacatepec come out ahead of Chilpancingo on wins alone.
  • 24% — that's where the model lands on Zacatepec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 20%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatepec Chilpancingo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Chilpancingo
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Zacatepec
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Chilpancingo
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Zacatepec
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatepec 67 / 100
Chilpancingo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatepec Chilpancingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacatepec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chilpancingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zacatepec scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Zacatepec stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zacatepec VS Chilpancingo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatepec

(Home)
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Zacatepec
22 Apr
Zacatepec
2 : 2
Alacranes de Durango
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3
Zacatepec
15 Apr
Zacatepec
1 : 1
FC Santiago
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 7

Chilpancingo

(Away)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)