Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Zaglebie II

2 - 0

BKS Sparta Katowice

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Dorozko J.

68'

Kusztal P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zaglebie II and BKS Sparta Katowice finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Zaglebie II

Draws

90%

BKS Sparta Katowice

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

BKS Sparta Katowice carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives BKS Sparta Katowice a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 10%

BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zaglebie II	BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	13	14
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.25	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 III Liga - Group III

Zaglebie II vs BKS Sparta Katowice

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group III

BKS Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie II

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorozko J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kusztal P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 10 / 100

BKS Sparta Katowice 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zaglebie II BKS Sparta Katowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Zaglebie II scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: BKS Sparta Katowice conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zaglebie II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS BKS Sparta Katowice

1.25 Goals Scored 2.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zielona Gora	34	21	10	3	77:17	73
2	Polkowice	34	20	7	7	64:42	67
3	BKS Sparta Katowice	34	18	8	8	53:34	62
4	Skra Czestochowa	34	17	8	9	68:56	59
5	Zaglebie II	34	17	6	11	77:61	57
6	Goczalkowice Zdroj	34	15	9	10	49:46	54
7	Kluczbork	34	15	7	12	67:43	52
8	Warta Gorzow	34	15	7	12	54:47	52
9	Gornik Zabrze II	34	15	6	13	73:44	51
10	Sleza Wroclaw	34	14	7	13	49:57	49
11	Woliborz	34	13	9	12	48:49	48
12	Carina Gubin	34	12	11	11	50:51	47
13	Legnica II	34	13	7	14	63:58	46
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	34	12	9	13	57:56	45
15	Polonia Nysa	34	9	10	15	51:58	37
16	Starowice Dolne	34	7	6	21	33:81	27
17	Pniowek Pawlowice	34	5	4	25	28:77	19
18	Stal Jasien	34	2	1	31	21:105	7