Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Cieslik M.
84' Event
Marek S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zaglebie II and Karkonosze Jelenia Gora finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Zaglebie II
22%
Draws
60%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora have managed 1.75 goals a game lately — Zaglebie II are scoring more at 2.13.
  • Win probability leans Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 10%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Zaglebie II
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Zaglebie II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Marek S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Cieslik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 18 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zaglebie II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Zaglebie II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie II

(Home)
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
15 Jul
Zaglebie II
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
11 Jul
Zaglebie II
0 : 4
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
08 Jul
KKS Kalisz
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
04 Jul
Zaglebie II
3 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
11 Jul
Zaglebie II
0 : 4
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
08 Jul
Woliborz
3 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
04 Jul
Polkowice
1 : 3
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
23 May
Zielona Gora
4 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)