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Stadium Background

Zaglebie II vs Polkowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Zynek B.
89' Event
Szuszkiewicz M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zaglebie II and Polkowice finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polkowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zaglebie II
33%
Draws
40%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Polkowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Zaglebie II on wins alone.
  • Polkowice are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Polkowice here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 13%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Polkowice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polkowice
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Zaglebie II
3:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Zaglebie II
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Polkowice
2:3
Jan 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Zaglebie II
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Zynek B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szuszkiewicz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 27 / 100
Polkowice 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Polkowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Zaglebie II scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Polkowice has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Polkowice registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Polkowice
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057