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Stadium Background

Zaglebie II vs Polkowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Marcjan P.
80' Event
Ziolkowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Zaglebie II and Polkowice finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Zaglebie II
35%
Draws
20%
Polkowice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zaglebie II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Zaglebie II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zaglebie II a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Polkowice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 17%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie II Polkowice
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polkowice
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polkowice
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Zaglebie II
3:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Zaglebie II
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Zaglebie II vs Polkowice
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziolkowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcjan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie II 75 / 100
Polkowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie II Polkowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie II's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zaglebie II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Polkowice let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie II VS Polkowice
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie II

(Home)
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Zaglebie II
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
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Polkowice

(Away)
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)