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Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kosidis M.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Kosidis M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Zaglebie and Pogon Szczecin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zaglebie
17%
Draws
13%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zaglebie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Zaglebie haven't matched Pogon Szczecin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zaglebie's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Szczecin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin
2:0
May 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie
5:1
Feb 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie
1:0
Dec 4, 2024 Polish Cup
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosidis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 67 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zaglebie scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Pogon Szczecin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Zaglebie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Pogon Szczecin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%