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Zagora vs HNK Zadar

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Zagora Logo

Zagora

0 - 0
FT
HNK Zadar Logo

HNK Zadar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zagora and HNK Zadar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Zagora
35%
Draws
13%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagora haven't matched HNK Zadar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zagora a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zagora Clean Sheet 17%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora HNK Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zagora vs HNK Zadar
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs HNK Zadar
0:0
Oct 6, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Zagora
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 84 / 100
HNK Zadar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagora's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Zagora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

HNK Zadar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

HNK Zadar let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS HNK Zadar
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)