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Zagora vs Sloga Mravince - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Zagora Logo

Zagora

3 - 3
FT
Sloga Mravince Logo

Sloga Mravince

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zagora and Sloga Mravince finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zagora
30%
Draws
37%
Sloga Mravince
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Zagora haven't matched Sloga Mravince's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sloga Mravince a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora Sloga Mravince
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Sloga Mravince
3:3
Nov 28, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Zagora
1:1
Apr 28, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Zagora
4:0
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL South
Zagora vs Sloga Mravince
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 22 / 100
Sloga Mravince 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora Sloga Mravince

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Mravince Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zagora scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sloga Mravince let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Zagora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS Sloga Mravince
1.88 Goals Scored 2.67
2 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4
Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
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Sloga Mravince

(Away)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)