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Zagorec Krapina vs HNK Gorica Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Zagorec Krapina Logo

Zagorec Krapina

0 - 2
FT
HNK Gorica Logo

HNK Gorica

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Matkovic M.
85' Event
Vujnovic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with HNK Gorica advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zagorec Krapina
30%
Draws
42%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • HNK Gorica haven't matched Zagorec Krapina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HNK Gorica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Zagorec Krapina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor HNK Gorica, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 15%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorec Krapina HNK Gorica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Croatian Cup
Zagorec Krapina vs HNK Gorica
0:2
Aug 28, 2019 Croatian Cup
HNK Gorica vs Zagorec Krapina
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zagorec Krapina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Matkovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vujnovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorec Krapina 10 / 100
HNK Gorica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorec Krapina HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Zagorec Krapina found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

HNK Gorica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Zagorec Krapina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagorec Krapina VS HNK Gorica
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorec Krapina

(Home)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 7

HNK Gorica

(Away)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Granicar Kotoriba 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Dugo Selo 3
Pitomaca 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Vardarac Vardaroc 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Gospic 2
Kutjevo 4
TBD -
Osijek -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Croatia Zmijavci 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Jalzabet 1
Moslavina 3
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Cibalia -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
NK Libertas Novska 1
Medjimurec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
NK Tomislav Drnje 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 4
Belisce 3
Novi Marof 0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 2
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Grobnican 29
TBD -
Varazdin -
Rudar Labin 2
Zagora 3
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Porec 2
Mladost Zdralovi 1
TBD -
Oriolik -
Bilogora 0
Ponikve 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zagorec Krapina 1
Omladinac Staro Topolje 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Primorac Biograd 0
Radnik Krizevci 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
1/16-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Bijelo Brdo 1
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Karlovac 2
Jaska Vinogradar 1
Kutjevo 1
Osijek 4
Croatia Zmijavci 0
Rudes 1
Moslavina 2
Slaven Belupo 4
Cibalia 6
NK Zagreb 0
NK Libertas Novska 0
Rijeka 9
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Belisce 1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 0
Hajduk Split 6
Grobnican 0
Varazdin 1
Zagora 0
Istra 1961 2
Jadran Porec 0
Oriolik 1
Ponikve 1
Din. Zagreb 4
Zagorec Krapina 0
HNK Gorica 2
Radnik Krizevci 4
Sibenik 3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 1991 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Karlovac 0
Osijek 1
Rudes 3
Slaven Belupo 1
Cibalia 1
Rijeka 3
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Hajduk Split 2
Varazdin 3
Istra 1961 2
Oriolik 0
Din. Zagreb 8
HNK Gorica 4
Radnik Krizevci 0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 1
Osijek 0
Rudes 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 5
Varazdin 0
Din. Zagreb 4
HNK Gorica 0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 0
Din. Zagreb 1
Final
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 3