Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagorets vs OFC Haskovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorets play OFC Haskovo in the Third League - South-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zagorets averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. OFC Haskovo averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Zagorets won 1, OFC Haskovo won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Zagorets and 1.69 for OFC Haskovo. This points to a OFC Haskovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zagorets
16%
Draws
51%
OFC Haskovo
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: OFC Haskovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Zagorets picked up more points recently compared to OFC Haskovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 13%
OFC Haskovo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets OFC Haskovo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs OFC Haskovo
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-East
OFC Haskovo vs Zagorets
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs OFC Haskovo
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-East
OFC Haskovo vs Zagorets
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-East
OFC Haskovo vs Zagorets
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 32 / 100
OFC Haskovo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets OFC Haskovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: OFC Haskovo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zagorets attacking → ← attacking OFC Haskovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorets scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

OFC Haskovo let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zagorets went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

OFC Haskovo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 48
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223