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Zakho vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Zamil A.
72'
Kiki G.
90' Event
Attwan A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Zakho and Diyala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zakho
35%
Draws
32%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Diyala haven't matched Zakho's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Zakho Clean Sheet 16%
Diyala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Diyala
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
2:2
May 11, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
0:1
Jan 9, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opare C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 36 / 100
Diyala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diyala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Diyala has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Zakho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Diyala
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 7

Diyala

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)