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Zakho vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Zamil A.
72'
Kiki G.
90' Event
Attwan A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Zakho and Diyala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Zakho
20%
Draws
60%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diyala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Diyala haven't matched Zakho's recent run of results.
  • 20% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Zakho Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Diyala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
0:1
Jan 9, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
1:4
Apr 12, 2011 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opare C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 41 / 100
Diyala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Diyala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Diyala has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Diyala
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Erbil
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

Diyala

(Away)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)