Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zakho vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mbule S.
Assist: Jasim A.
45' Event
Sioud N.
Assist: Mohammed M.
67' Event
Karim S.
Assist: Mbule S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zakho
35%
Draws
32%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Diyala have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Zakho Clean Sheet 16%
Diyala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Diyala
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
2:2
May 11, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Diyala
0:1
Jan 9, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Zakho
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbule S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karim S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sioud N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 36 / 100
Diyala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diyala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Zakho scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Diyala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Zakho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Diyala
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Diyala

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)