Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zakho vs Erbil

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Barco C.
62' Event
Barco C.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Attwan A.

AI Match Summary

Erbil in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erbil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zakho
30%
Draws
47%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbil have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • Erbil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zakho Clean Sheet 16%
Erbil Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Erbil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Zakho
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Zakho
0:0
Nov 7, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
3:1
May 22, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Attwan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Erbil Compare

Top Goalscorer Barco C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 10 / 100
Erbil 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Zakho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erbil let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Erbil
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Erbil

(Away)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al-Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0
Al Minaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)