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Zalgiris 2 vs FC Stumbras 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Tue, Aug 20, 2019
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. This one's hard to separate. FC Stumbras 2 have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Zalgiris 2 have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Zalgiris 2 have won 0 to FC Stumbras 2's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.50) point toward Zalgiris 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
28%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 have won more games recently than FC Stumbras 2.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 16%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.47 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
0:0
Aug 20, 2019 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0
Oct 10, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:0
Apr 23, 2018 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FC Stumbras 2
1:1
Oct 21, 2017 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 75 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 FC Stumbras 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris 2 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Zalgiris 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: FC Stumbras 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

FC Stumbras 2

(Away)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)