Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Velicka D.
61' Event
Odincovas L.
79' Event
Berenta V.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
0%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Garliava haven't matched Zalgiris 2's recent run of results.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Garliava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
1:1
Jun 10, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs Zalgiris 2
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
1:0
Jun 17, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs Zalgiris 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Velicka D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berenta V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Garliava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Garliava has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zalgiris 2's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Garliava has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Garliava
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

Garliava

(Away)
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Tauras Taurage
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 1
Garliava
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 22 17 4 1 38:7 55
2 FK Minija 21 18 1 2 55:12 55
3 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
4 BE1 NFA 21 13 2 6 38:24 41
5 Tauras Taurage 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
6 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
7 Dainava Alytus 21 10 6 5 33:20 36
8 BFA Vilnius 22 11 3 8 33:31 36
9 FK Atmosfera 21 7 5 9 31:28 26
10 Jonava 22 7 5 10 26:28 26
11 Garliava 21 6 4 11 23:23 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 22 6 1 15 24:50 19
13 Transinvest 2 22 5 3 14 24:52 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 21 5 1 15 18:34 16
15 Siauliai 2 22 3 5 14 20:47 14
16 Ekranas 22 3 2 17 21:50 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)