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Zalgiris vs Atlantas

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019 LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

5 - 0
FT
Atlantas Logo

Atlantas

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jarusevicius G.
Assist: Videmont H.
34' Event
Kis T.
Assist: Mikoliunas S.
44' Event
Jarusevicius G.
Assist: Uzela K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this A Lyga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
0%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlantas haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Zalgiris taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zalgiris have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Atlantas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
5:0
Sep 25, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
4:0
Aug 4, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
1:3
May 26, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Atlantas vs Zalgiris
0:2
May 17, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Atlantas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarusevicius G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kis T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Atlantas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 95 / 100
Atlantas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Atlantas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atlantas registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 8

Atlantas

(Away)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 33 29 0 4 95:24 87
2 Zalgiris 33 24 2 7 79:29 74
3 Riteriai 33 16 7 10 57:36 55
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 33 16 5 12 54:45 53
5 FK Panevezys 33 10 7 16 49:63 37
6 Atlantas 33 7 5 21 30:78 26
Promotion - Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2020/2021 (Qualification)