Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas

Zalgiris

1 - 1

Banga

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Simao J.

Assist: Olugbogi A.

51'

Petkovic N.

59'

Sub

Venckus I. In: Appiah A.

Out: Venckus I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Zalgiris and Banga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Zalgiris

39%

Draws

31%

Banga

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Zalgiris come out ahead of Banga on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%

Banga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zalgiris	Banga
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	5	9
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA

Banga vs Zalgiris

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Apr 17, 2026 TOPLYGA

Zalgiris vs Banga

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sep 13, 2025 TOPLYGA

Banga vs Zalgiris

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Jul 4, 2025 TOPLYGA

Zalgiris vs Banga

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

May 3, 2025 TOPLYGA

Banga vs Zalgiris

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Golubickas P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Simao J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 31 / 100

Banga 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zalgiris Banga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Zalgiris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Banga

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	20	9	7	4	38:15	34
2	Dziugas Telsiai	20	9	6	5	29:22	33
3	Zalgiris	20	9	4	7	30:22	31
4	Banga	20	8	6	6	22:15	30
5	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
6	Transinvest	20	8	5	7	29:28	29
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	20	2	7	11	18:41	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0