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Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Vareika M.
23'
Kendysh Y.
40'
Sub
Silva A. In: Vinckus D.
Out: Silva A.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zalgiris
20%
Draws
10%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Dziugas Telsiai.
  • Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 16%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:0
Jun 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Zalgiris
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Zalgiris
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Zalgiris
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Lytvynenko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilenkyi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 84 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalgiris found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Zalgiris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Dziugas Telsiai
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)