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Zalgiris vs Suwalki

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Golubickas P.
44' Event
Guzdek B.
89' Event
Kwiatkowski J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Zalgiris and Suwalki finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zalgiris
30%
Draws
23%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of Zalgiris on wins alone.
  • Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Suwalki
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs Suwalki
1:2
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs Suwalki
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Suwalki vs Zalgiris
0:0
Feb 16, 2018 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs Suwalki
3:1
Jan 21, 2017 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs Suwalki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Golubickas P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzdek B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwiatkowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 75 / 100
Suwalki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Suwalki conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Suwalki
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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Suwalki

(Away)
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3
Suwalki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
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