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Zalla UC vs Alaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017 game between Zalla UC and Alaves B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zalla UC
15%
Draws
57%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alaves B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alaves B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 19%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC Alaves B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Zalla UC
4:1
Nov 26, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Alaves B
0:1
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Alaves B
1:3
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Zalla UC
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Alaves B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 16 / 100
Alaves B 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalla UC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Alaves B has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Zalla UC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alaves B
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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Alaves B

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 22 8 8 57:20 74
2 CD Vitoria 38 22 6 10 60:39 72
3 SCD Durango 38 19 14 5 56:27 71
4 Beasain 38 20 10 8 51:29 70
5 Portugalete 38 18 15 5 56:39 69
6 Bermeo 38 14 14 10 53:41 56
7 SD Deusto 38 14 13 11 46:45 55
8 Santurtzi 38 13 14 11 44:38 53
9 Balmaseda 38 13 12 13 41:40 51
10 Basconia 38 12 12 14 50:55 48
11 Sodupe 38 13 8 17 55:67 47
12 Amurrio Club 38 11 13 14 39:39 46
13 Deportivo Getxo 38 13 6 19 39:45 45
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 30:47 45
15 Real Sociedad C 38 10 14 14 36:35 44
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 17 13 38:45 41
17 Tolosa 38 9 12 17 32:49 39
18 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 9 11 18 27:54 38
19 Zalla UC 38 7 12 19 39:63 33
20 Pasaia 38 7 8 23 35:67 29
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)