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Zalla UC vs Bermeo

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 game between Zalla UC and Bermeo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bermeo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zalla UC
30%
Draws
23%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zalla UC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zalla UC come out ahead of Bermeo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zalla UC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 20%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC Bermeo
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.28 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Bermeo
2:0
Dec 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Zalla UC
6:1
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Bermeo
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Zalla UC
1:1
Feb 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Bermeo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 67 / 100
Bermeo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalla UC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermeo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Zalla UC scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Zalla UC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalla UC VS Bermeo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
Page 1 of 7

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)