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Zambia U17 W vs Japan U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zambia U17 W play Japan U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2024. Japan U17 W are favorites here. Recently, Zambia U17 W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Japan U17 W averaged 2.76 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Zambia U17 W won 0, Japan U17 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 22, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Zambia U17 W and 2.56 for Japan U17 W. This points to a Japan U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Zambia U17 W
15%
Draws
70%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zambia U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Zambia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 10 34
Wins 2 22
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.8 2.76
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs Zambia U17 W
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Zambia U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinjo M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ota M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U17 W 16 / 100
Japan U17 W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U17 W Japan U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Japan U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zambia U17 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U17 W scored in 40% of their last 10 games.

Japan U17 W let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zambia U17 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Japan U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 70
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nigeria U17 W33009:19
2Ecuador U17 W32016:46
3Dominican Republic U17 W30121:41
4New Zealand U17 W30122:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17 W330010:29
2USA U17 W32018:36
3Colombia U17 W30122:51
4South Korea U17 W30121:111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U17 W330011:19
2England U17 W32016:66
3Kenya U17 W31022:63
4Mexico U17 W30034:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U17 W32106:27
2Poland U17 W31202:05
3Brazil U17 W31112:24
4Zambia U17 W30031:70