Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U20 vs Malawi U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Daka B.
90' Event
Daka B.

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 game between Zambia U20 and Malawi U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zambia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
36%
Malawi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zambia U20 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zambia U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Malawi U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Malawi U20
2:0
Jul 11, 2025 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Zambia U20
2:1
Dec 9, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Malawi U20
2:0
Dec 9, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Malawi U20
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Zambia U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daka B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Malawi U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 77 / 100
Malawi U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Malawi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Malawi U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Zambia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Malawi U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Namibia U20
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
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Malawi U20

(Away)
23 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
21 Sept
Botswana U20
0 : 3
Malawi U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia U20 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Mozambique U20 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Seychelles U20 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Angola U20 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Eswatini U20 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Lesotho U20 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Malawi U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Comoros U20 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Botswana U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)