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Zambia U20 vs Mauritius U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2022 Somhlolo Stadium, Lobamba
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kwo Tseng P.
21' Event
Songa C.
(Penalty)
29'

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2022 game between Zambia U20 and Mauritius U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zambia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
0%
Mauritius U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zambia U20 come out ahead of Mauritius U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zambia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zambia U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritius U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Mauritius U20
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.52 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Mauritius U20
3:0
Aug 8, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mauritius U20 vs Zambia U20
3:1
Jul 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Zambia U20 vs Mauritius U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ng'ambi R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Mauritius U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 85 / 100
Mauritius U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Mauritius U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Mauritius U20 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 23 outings.

Mauritius U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Mauritius U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Namibia U20
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
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Mauritius U20

(Away)
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0
Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mauritius U20
3 : 4
Seychelles U20
18 Sept
Mauritius U20
0 : 1
Namibia U20
11 Oct
Eswatini U20
7 : 0
Mauritius U20
09 Oct
Botswana U20
1 : 0
Mauritius U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Eswatini U20 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Botswana U20 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Angola U20 3 2 0 1 13:2 6
3 Lesotho U20 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Seychelles U20 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
2 Malawi U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Comoros U20 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Namibia U20 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)