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Zambia U23 vs Malawi Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zambia U23 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zambia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zambia U23
20%
Draws
29%
Malawi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malawi lately — more wins on the board than Zambia U23.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U23 Malawi
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Zambia U23 vs Malawi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U23 31 / 100
Malawi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U23 Malawi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zambia U23 scored in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Malawi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Zambia U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Malawi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U23 VS Malawi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U23

(Home)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
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Malawi

(Away)
25 Sept
Malawi
2 : 1
South Sudan
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
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