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Zambia U23 vs Tunisia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Jouini H.
15' Event
Kampamba R.
24'
Sub
Ngoma P. In: Ching'andu J.
Out: Ngoma P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Tunisia U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zambia U23
20%
Draws
40%
Tunisia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tunisia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zambia U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Tunisia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Tunisia U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U23 Tunisia U23
Matches Played 17 25
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Tunisia U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kampamba R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Tunisia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jouini H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U23 36 / 100
Tunisia U23 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U23 Tunisia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zambia U23 scored in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Tunisia U23 let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zambia U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U23 VS Tunisia U23
0.4 Goals Scored 1.75
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.63
20% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U23

(Home)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Tunisia U23

(Away)
05 Oct
Benin U23
1 : 0
Tunisia U23
29 Sept
Tunisia U23
2 : 0
Benin U23
13 Jun
Portugal U20
2 : 0
Tunisia U23
10 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 0
Tunisia U23
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U23 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 South Africa U23 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Tunisia U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Zambia U23 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Nigeria U23 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Mali U23 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Egypt U23 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)