Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia vs Angola

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Chishimba J.
38'
Chisala W.
53'
Sub
Chishimba J. In: Kamanga K.
Out: Chishimba J.

AI Match Summary

Angola in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Angola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Zambia
35%
Draws
49%
Angola
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Angola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia haven't matched Angola's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Angola taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Angola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Zambia Clean Sheet 14%
Angola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia Angola
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.96 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Angola vs Zambia
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 African Nations Championship
Zambia vs Angola
1:2
Jan 5, 2013 Friendly International
Zambia vs Angola
0:2
May 16, 2012 Friendly International
Angola vs Zambia
0:0
Dec 18, 2011 Friendly International
Angola vs Zambia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanda D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Angola Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaporal
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia 10 / 100
Angola 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia Angola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Angola conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Zambia found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Recent resilience: Zambia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia VS Angola
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia

(Home)
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1
Zambia
16 Dec
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Zambia
Page 1 of 5

Angola

(Away)
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
29 Dec
Angola
0 : 0
Egypt
26 Dec
Angola
1 : 1
Zimbabwe
22 Dec
South Africa
2 : 1
Angola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)