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Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zamora play Atletico El Vigia in the Copa Venezuela. Zamora are favorites here. Recently, Zamora averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Atletico El Vigia averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Zamora won 4, Atletico El Vigia won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 12, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Zamora and 0.38 for Atletico El Vigia. This points to a Zamora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Zamora
20%
Draws
22%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Zamora picked up more points recently compared to Atletico El Vigia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Zamora Clean Sheet 32%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.21 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora
0:0
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
6:1
Feb 16, 2014 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
4:0
Sep 22, 2013 Liga FUTVE
Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora
0:2
Mar 13, 2013 Liga FUTVE
Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrealba S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Flores J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 59 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Atletico El Vigia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zamora & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zamora attacking → ← attacking Atletico El Vigia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Atletico El Vigia let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Zamora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico El Vigia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 19
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academia Anzoategui11003:13
2Deportivo Miranda00000:00
3Maritimo de Venezuela00000:00
4Avila10011:30
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamora11006:13
2Atletico Barinas11001:03
3Real Frontera10010:10
4Atletico El Vigia10011:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Yaracuyanos11004:03
2Aragua10101:11
3Caracas10101:11
4Barquisimeto10010:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Urena11001:03
2Trujillanos10100:01
3Rayo Zuliano10100:01
4Lara10010:10
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Monagas11004:03
2Mineros10101:11
3Bolivar10101:11
4Dynamo Puerto FC10010:40