Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamora vs Ponferradina

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Frimpong E.
29'
Lozano M.
50'
Losada M.

AI Match Summary

Zamora in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zamora
39%
Draws
31%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamora have won more games recently than Ponferradina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Ponferradina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ponferradina
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Zamora
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ponferradina
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Zamora
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Zamora vs Ponferradina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ponferradina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 41 / 100
Ponferradina 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ponferradina has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Zamora stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Ponferradina
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0
Zamora
13 Jun
Zamora
1 : 0
Sabadell
07 Jun
Zamora
2 : 0
Villarreal B
31 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0
Zamora
23 May
Arenas Getxo
1 : 0
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

Ponferradina

(Away)
29 Jul
Real Oviedo
4 : 0
Ponferradina
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)