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Stadium Background

Zamora vs Ponferradina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zamora host Ponferradina in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Zamora at 1.24 goals for, 1 against; Ponferradina at 1.15 for, 0.82 against. Past meetings favor Ponferradina slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.00) back Ponferradina to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Zamora
20%
Draws
38%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ponferradina have won more games recently than Zamora.
  • Zamora are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Zamora Clean Sheet 20%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Ponferradina
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.15
Goals Conceded 1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ponferradina
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Zamora
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ponferradina
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Zamora
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Zamora vs Ponferradina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 40 / 100
Ponferradina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zamora scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Zamora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ponferradina let in goals in 42% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Ponferradina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
04 Oct
Zamora
2 : 0
CD Coria
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Ponferradina

(Away)
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Mirandes
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)