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Zamora vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Losada M.
42'
Losada M.
55'
Marquez E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Zamora advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zamora
20%
Draws
47%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zamora have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Sabadell are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamora, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Sabadell
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Zamora
4:0
Jun 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Sabadell
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.31

Sabadell Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 42 / 100
Sabadell 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Zamora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sabadell has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Sabadell
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
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Sabadell

(Away)
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B 4
CE Europa 3
Atl. Madrid B 0
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 3
Real Madrid B 2
Zamora 2
Villarreal B 2
Final
Celta Vigo B 4
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 4
Zamora 1