Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Ormazabal I.
46'
46'
Iriondo Valdivielso A.
59'
59'
Garai O.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Zamudio and San Ignacio finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Ignacio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ High Confidence
- San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
- San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 15%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zamudio | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs San Ignacio
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Zamudio
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Zamudio
2:0
Nov 17, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs San Ignacio
1:4
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs San Ignacio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zamudio Compare
Top Goalscorer Garai O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
San Ignacio Compare
Top Goalscorer Ormazabal I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iriondo Valdivielso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zamudio 23 / 100
San Ignacio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zamudio San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zamudio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
San Ignacio let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Zamudio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zamudio VS San Ignacio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Zamudio
(Home) 09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1 Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2 Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1 Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2 Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Santurtzi
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0 Pasaia
29 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 0 SD Deusto
14 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 2 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 3
San Ignacio
(Away) 09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1 Alaves C
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1 San Ignacio
19 Apr
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Leioa
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1 San Ignacio
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1 San Ignacio
28 Mar
SCD Durango
0 : 1 San Ignacio
14 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 2 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
