Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamudio vs SD Deusto

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pascual A.
67' Event
Pison I.
78'
Marin M.

AI Match Summary

Zamudio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamudio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zamudio
20%
Draws
40%
SD Deusto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamudio lately — more wins on the board than SD Deusto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 16%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamudio SD Deusto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs SD Deusto
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Zamudio
1:0
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs SD Deusto
1:0
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Zamudio
0:1
Apr 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Zamudio
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamudio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pison I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

SD Deusto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamudio 31 / 100
SD Deusto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamudio SD Deusto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamudio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

SD Deusto let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

SD Deusto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamudio VS SD Deusto
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamudio

(Home)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
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SD Deusto

(Away)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)