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Zanaco vs Lumwana Radiants

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Araina L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Zanaco and Lumwana Radiants finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zanaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zanaco
20%
Draws
44%
Lumwana Radiants
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lumwana Radiants

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zanaco come out ahead of Lumwana Radiants on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zanaco a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Zanaco Clean Sheet 68%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zanaco Lumwana Radiants
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.86 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Zanaco vs Lumwana Radiants
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Zanaco
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Zanaco
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 Super League
Zanaco vs Lumwana Radiants
1:0
May 5, 2021 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Zanaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zanaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Araina L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zanaco 46 / 100
Lumwana Radiants 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zanaco Lumwana Radiants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zanaco scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Lumwana Radiants conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Zanaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lumwana Radiants's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zanaco VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zanaco

(Home)
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
06 May
Zanaco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 7

Lumwana Radiants

(Away)
17 May
Nkwazi
0 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
03 May
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
21 Apr
Zesco
1 : 0
Lumwana Radiants
09 Apr
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 1
Mutondo Stars
02 Apr
Atletico Lusaka
1 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
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