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Zanzibar vs Kenya

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gombani Stadium, Gombani
Our Tip

Match Events

68'
Omar A.
90' Event
Khatib A.
90'
Ame I.

AI Match Summary

Zanzibar in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zanzibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zanzibar
30%
Draws
33%
Kenya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zanzibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kenya lately — more wins on the board than Zanzibar.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Kenya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Zanzibar Clean Sheet 19%
Kenya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zanzibar Kenya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2025 Friendly International
Zanzibar vs Kenya
1:0
Dec 14, 2019 CECAFA Championship
Kenya vs Zanzibar
1:0
Dec 17, 2017 CECAFA Championship
Kenya vs Zanzibar
3:2
Dec 9, 2017 CECAFA Championship
Kenya vs Zanzibar
0:0
Nov 27, 2015 CECAFA Championship
Zanzibar vs Kenya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zanzibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Khatib A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Kenya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zanzibar 24 / 100
Kenya 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zanzibar Kenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Zanzibar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Zanzibar scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zanzibar VS Kenya
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zanzibar

(Home)
31 Jul
Zanzibar
2 : 2
Nigeria
28 Jul
Zanzibar
0 : 0
Nigeria
13 Jan
Zanzibar
2 : 1
Burkina Faso
10 Jan
Zanzibar
1 : 0
Kenya
06 Jan
Zanzibar
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
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Kenya

(Away)
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Senegal
8 : 0
Kenya
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