Sport Picks
Zapotlanejo vs Alacranes de Durango Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
70'
70'
82'
82'
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Zapotlanejo and Alacranes de Durango finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alacranes de Durango.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zapotlanejo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alacranes de Durango come out ahead of Zapotlanejo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 20%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zapotlanejo | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs Alacranes de Durango
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Zapotlanejo
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zapotlanejo 31 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zapotlanejo Alacranes de Durango
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zapotlanejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Zapotlanejo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Zapotlanejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Alacranes de Durango let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Zapotlanejo VS Alacranes de Durango
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Zapotlanejo
(Home) 25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0 FC Santiago
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1 Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1 Apodaca
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0 Zapotlanejo
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0 FC Santiago
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1 Apodaca
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4 Cimarrones de Sonora
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3 Colima FC
Page 1 of 3
Alacranes de Durango
(Away) 27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
16 Aug
Cancun
2 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
