Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zapresic vs Cibalia

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić, Zaprešić
Sat, Oct 22, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zapresic host Cibalia in the Prva NL 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Cibalia have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Zapresic have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Zapresic slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 22, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.61) back Cibalia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zapresic
35%
Draws
39%
Cibalia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cibalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cibalia lately — more wins on the board than Zapresic.
  • Win probability leans Cibalia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 14%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapresic Cibalia
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.05 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Cibalia
0:0
Apr 22, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Cibalia
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Zapresic
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Zapresic
1:1
Aug 28, 2020 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Cibalia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapresic 23 / 100
Cibalia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapresic Cibalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cibalia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zapresic scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Defensive concern: Cibalia conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zapresic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cibalia
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapresic

(Home)
16 Aug
Segesta
3 : 0
Zapresic
14 Feb
NK Brezice
2 : 2
Zapresic
19 Oct
NK Nedelisce
3 : 0
Zapresic
28 May
Zapresic
0 : 1
Solin
22 May
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

Cibalia

(Away)
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
05 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1
Cibalia
02 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Orijent
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)