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Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ramazanov I.
61' Event
Heydarov A.
88' Event
Aliyev A.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Zaqatala PFK and Baku Sporting finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaqatala PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zaqatala PFK
20%
Draws
10%
Baku Sporting
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Baku Sporting carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zaqatala PFK a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 13%
Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Baku Sporting
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting
3:0
May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK
3:0
Dec 24, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1
Oct 2, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramazanov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heydarov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Baku Sporting Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 57 / 100
Baku Sporting 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Baku Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaqatala PFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Baku Sporting let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Zaqatala PFK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Baku Sporting registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Baku Sporting
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Baku Sporting

(Away)
10 Oct
Gancabasar
2 : 0
Baku Sporting
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
8 Shimal 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
9 Mingachevir 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
10 Baku Sporting 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)