Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK

2 - 1

Safa Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Aliyev I.

49'

Abdullayev S.

53'

Mammadov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaqatala PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Zaqatala PFK

Draws

90%

Safa Baku

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Safa Baku lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
90% — that's where the model lands on Safa Baku taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 11%

Safa Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zaqatala PFK	Safa Baku
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	17
Draws	4	9
Losses	18	4
Goals Scored	0.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Safa Baku

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Dec 11, 2025 I Liqa

Safa Baku vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sep 18, 2025 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Safa Baku

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullayev S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mammadov M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Safa Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100

Safa Baku 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zaqatala PFK Safa Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Zaqatala PFK scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Safa Baku conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Zaqatala PFK remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Safa Baku

0.63 Goals Scored 1.5

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18