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Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena SAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Ibercaja Estadio, Zaragoza
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Jurado M.
18'
Baz I.
40'
Iranzo R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Zaragoza and FC Cartagena SAD finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaragoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Zaragoza
20%
Draws
28%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaragoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zaragoza come out ahead of FC Cartagena SAD on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Zaragoza here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaragoza FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:0
May 10, 2025 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena SAD
3:2
Aug 26, 2024 LaLiga2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Zaragoza
1:2
Feb 16, 2024 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:2
Sep 10, 2023 LaLiga2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Zaragoza
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaragoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaragoza 41 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaragoza FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Zaragoza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Zaragoza scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Cartagena SAD conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zaragoza VS FC Cartagena SAD
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaragoza

(Home)
04 Oct
Zaragoza
4 : 1
Teruel
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
Page 1 of 6

FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)