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Stadium Background

Zarautz KE vs Gernika Club

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gernika Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarautz KE
39%
Draws
30%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarautz KE haven't matched Gernika Club's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gernika Club here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 16%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Gernika Club
1:5
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Zarautz KE
2:0
Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Gernika Club
2:0
Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Zarautz KE
1:0
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Zarautz KE
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 31 / 100
Gernika Club 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarautz KE found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gernika Club let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Zarautz KE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Gernika Club
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laudio38245970:2477
2Barakaldo382210658:2976
3Portugalete382111660:2974
4Beasain382012658:3472
5Zalla UC382012657:3472
6Gernika Club3818101050:3764
7SCD Durango381891149:4163
8Leioa381219745:3755
9Zamudio3814121242:4354
10Basconia381381767:6747
11Lagun Onak3810161229:3146
12Elgoibar381291741:4945
13Eibar B3810141436:4644
14Arenas Getxo3811101745:4643
15Santutxu FC389131636:5640
16Balmaseda388161448:5740
17Alaves B381172049:7140
18CD Vitoria386131943:6631
19Hernani38682431:7126
20Zarautz KE38482628:7420