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Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 game between Zarautz KE and SCD Durango finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zarautz KE
30%
Draws
47%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 18%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE SCD Durango
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zarautz KE
4:2
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
0:0
Apr 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zarautz KE
3:0
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
1:2
Mar 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 20 / 100
SCD Durango 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zarautz KE found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Zarautz KE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS SCD Durango
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 7

SCD Durango

(Away)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)