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Zarechnoye vs Griffon

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Yunost Stadium, Krasnogvardeiskoe
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Odinets A.
18' Event
Malyshev D.
41'
Masyutkin B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2025 game between Zarechnoye and Griffon finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarechnoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Zarechnoye
20%
Draws
7%
Griffon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zarechnoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Zarechnoye carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zarechnoye are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zarechnoye have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 20%
Griffon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye Griffon
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 2.66 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.16 5.86
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Griffon
5:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Griffon vs Zarechnoye
0:5
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Griffon
7:1
May 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Griffon vs Zarechnoye
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Malyshev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meilakh K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Griffon Compare

Top Goalscorer Odinets A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 85 / 100
Griffon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye Griffon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarechnoye's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Griffon has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 6.25 goals as a typical output.

Zarechnoye has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS Griffon
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
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Griffon

(Away)
16 Nov
Zarechnoye
5 : 1
Griffon
09 Nov
Kyzyltash
6 : 0
Griffon
02 Nov
Griffon
0 : 5
GFK Yalta
26 Oct
Feodosiya
3 : 3
Griffon
18 Oct
Sparta-KT
3 : 1
Griffon
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