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Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Altunin A.

AI Match Summary

TSK Simferopol in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarechnoye
40%
Draws
29%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TSK Simferopol lately — more wins on the board than Zarechnoye.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
3:3
May 24, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Altunin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 30 / 100
TSK Simferopol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarechnoye scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: TSK Simferopol conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zarechnoye stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS TSK Simferopol
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
30 May
Feodosiya
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
24 May
Zarechnoye
1 : 4
MAK
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
31 May
GFK Yalta
3 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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