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Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Altunin A.

AI Match Summary

TSK Simferopol in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarechnoye
15%
Draws
54%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TSK Simferopol lately — more wins on the board than Zarechnoye.
  • Model gives TSK Simferopol a 54% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.43 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Altunin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 10 / 100
TSK Simferopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Simferopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarechnoye scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: TSK Simferopol conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zarechnoye stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS TSK Simferopol
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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