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Zarnovica vs Lucenec

Slovakia Slovakia

Divison C Central 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Divison C Central 2015/2016 game between Zarnovica and Lucenec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarnovica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Zarnovica
15%
Draws
85%
Lucenec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucenec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lucenec come out ahead of Zarnovica on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lucenec taking it.
  • Regular Divison C Central 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zarnovica Clean Sheet 10%
Lucenec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarnovica Lucenec
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.37
Goals Conceded 4.03 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2016 4. liga - Central
Zarnovica vs Lucenec
3:1
Sep 26, 2015 4. liga - Central
Lucenec vs Zarnovica
0:3
Mar 28, 2015 4. liga - Central
Lucenec vs Zarnovica
2:1
Aug 10, 2014 4. liga - Central
Zarnovica vs Lucenec
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarnovica 10 / 100
Lucenec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarnovica Lucenec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucenec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucenec has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lucenec registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zarnovica scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarnovica VS Lucenec
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarnovica

(Home)
18 Jun
OSK Besenova
3 : 0
Zarnovica
11 Jun
Zarnovica
1 : 9
Slavia Staskov
02 Jun
Badin
10 : 0
Zarnovica
28 May
Zarnovica
0 : 9
Makov
20 May
Kysucke Nove Mesto
4 : 0
Zarnovica
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Lucenec

(Away)
25 Jul
Lucenec
0 : 1
Lokomotiva Kosice
19 Jun
Liptovsky Hradok
1 : 0
Lucenec
12 Jun
Lucenec
2 : 0
Nova Bana
04 Jun
Cadca
5 : 2
Lucenec
01 Jun
SK Kremnicka
2 : 1
Lucenec
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