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Zarya Lugansk vs Astrakhan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Zakharov M.
56' Event
Zakharov M.
58'
Galochkin F.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Zarya Lugansk and Astrakhan finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarya Lugansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zarya Lugansk
30%
Draws
23%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zarya Lugansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarya Lugansk haven't matched Astrakhan's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Zarya Lugansk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 20%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarya Lugansk Astrakhan
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs Astrakhan
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Zarya Lugansk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sharapov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Astrakhan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarya Lugansk 85 / 100
Astrakhan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarya Lugansk Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Zarya Lugansk's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Astrakhan conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Zarya Lugansk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarya Lugansk VS Astrakhan
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarya Lugansk

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
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Astrakhan

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
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