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Zarya Lugansk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zakharov M.
51' Event
Zakharov M.
59' Event
Glushchenko I.

AI Match Summary

Zarya Lugansk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zarya Lugansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zarya Lugansk
39%
Draws
31%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarya Lugansk have won more games recently than FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 68%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarya Lugansk FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glushchenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Veselovsky R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarya Lugansk 41 / 100
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarya Lugansk FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zarya Lugansk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarya Lugansk VS FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%