Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarya Lugansk vs Izberbash

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Zakharov M.
38' Event
Tsindrik S.
60' Event
Zakharov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Zarya Lugansk and Izberbash finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarya Lugansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Zarya Lugansk
20%
Draws
22%
Izberbash
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zarya Lugansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Izberbash come out ahead of Zarya Lugansk on wins alone.
  • Zarya Lugansk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 68%
Izberbash Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarya Lugansk Izberbash
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Izberbash vs Zarya Lugansk
2:1
May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs Izberbash
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tsindrik S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Izberbash Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarya Lugansk 95 / 100
Izberbash 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarya Lugansk Izberbash

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Izberbash conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Zarya Lugansk found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zarya Lugansk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarya Lugansk VS Izberbash
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarya Lugansk

(Home)
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
16 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
2 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
Page 1 of 5

Izberbash

(Away)
13 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 1
Izberbash
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
3 : 1
Izberbash
26 Aug
Maykop
2 : 1
Izberbash
22 Aug
Izberbash
0 : 2
Shahter Taganrog
Page 1 of 6